Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Investors should note that security values may fluctuate and that each security's price or value may rise or fall. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed or recommended and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. There is no guarantee that investment in any program or strategy discussed herein will be profitable or will not incur loss. This material does not constitute any representation as to the suitability or appropriateness of any security, financial product or instrument. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, and the particular needs of any specific person. This information is prepared for general information only. 0342-BCI- Tags: COVID-19, GDP, Inflation, interest rates, market perspectives, Omicron, U.S. Brinker Capital Investments, LLC, a registered investment advisor. The views expressed are those of Brinker Capital and are not intended as investment advice or recommendation. On that final point, we would note that the most recent investor sentiment survey from the American Association of Individual Investors shows just 19% of respondents as being optimistic on the market, half the historical average. It, you want to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful). We are still optimistic about the US economy and market, noting that the COVID-19 case count has dropped dramatically, corporate revenues and earnings both continue to grow meaningfully and the US consumer – the bulwark of the US economy – is benefitting from rising wages, ample savings, and home price appreciation.Īs it concerns the upside of a drawdown, market pullbacks tend to serve two positive purposes – they help reset valuation at a lower and more supportive level for stocks and they tend to push investor sentiment towards pessimism, a contrarian indicator for stocks (or as Warren Buffett has famously put We remind ourselves that the S&P 500 is off less than 10% both year-to date and from its all-time high, while in any given year the market pulls back 15% peak to trough. Taking that task list in order, we see the Fed’s hawkish pivot and the recent Omicron-driven spike in the COVID-19 case count as the primary causes for the market sell-off, with the Russia / Ukraine situation weighing on risk assets of late. So, as we continue to navigate a very bumpy 2022, we continue to try and understand the reasons for the recent market weakness, put said weakness in perspective, determine if we should reconsider our optimistic outlook on the economy and the markets, and finally, keep in mind the upside of a drawdown.
Market volatility is often a catalyst for ill-timed trading decisions by investors who seek to take a long- erm view of things but find their good intentions and thoughtful plans overwhelmed by angst and anxiety.
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